Tens of Thousands Are Leaving New Zealand for Good—Is It a Cause for Concern?

Keywords: New Zealand, migration, small business, labor market, Australia, economic impact
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Saturday, 05 July 2025

The Growing Trend of Kiwis Moving Abroad

For many New Zealanders, the idea of "doing the OE"—overseas experience—has always been a rite of passage. But today, more Kiwis are choosing to leave their home country for good, driven by a mix of personal, economic, and lifestyle factors. Aveling Li, a permanent resident in Christchurch, is one such person. After nearly a decade in New Zealand, she is preparing to leave her nail salon and move with her daughter to Brisbane, Australia. Her story is not unique—tens of thousands of New Zealanders are making similar decisions, and while the economic impact might not be immediate, the long-term consequences could be significant.


The Personal and Professional Drivers

Li, who moved to New Zealand from Beijing nine years ago, is leaving not because of the economy or cost of living, but for a warmer climate, better educational opportunities for her daughter, and a chance to explore new creative ventures. She and her partner, who was born in India, ran a successful small business in Christchurch. However, with declining job opportunities in construction and a desire to expand their creative pursuits, Australia appeared to be the logical next step.

"Australia is a place where we can both work, build, and explore our passions," Li said. Her dream is to perform for the growing Chinese community in Brisbane, which numbers around 300,000. This aspiration reflects a broader trend among New Zealanders who are seeking not just a change of scenery, but a new beginning.


A Shifting Demographic Landscape

The number of New Zealand citizens leaving to live overseas has nearly tripled the number of those returning from abroad. This shift has been exacerbated by a variety of factors, including a slowing labor market, particularly in sectors like construction and agriculture, and a growing demand for skilled labor in neighboring countries such as Australia and the United Kingdom.

Experts like economist Michael Daly, who has reported extensively on New Zealand's housing and labor market, note that the current outflow of talent is not just a short-term trend. "We're seeing a shift in how young Kiwis view their future. Many are choosing to build their careers overseas, and with global opportunities expanding, it's becoming easier to do so," he said.


The Economic Implications

While the immediate economic impact of Kiwis moving abroad may not be as pronounced as in the past, the long-term effects on the labor market and innovation could be more profound. Small businesses, which are the backbone of New Zealand's economy, are particularly vulnerable to the loss of skilled workers and entrepreneurs.

"When a business owner like Aveling Li leaves, it's not just the loss of a few jobs, but the potential loss of future innovation and enterprise," Daly explained. "This is especially true in regional areas where small businesses are essential to local economies."


The Road Ahead

For now, the trend of Kiwis moving overseas is unlikely to reverse in the near term. However, policymakers and business leaders are beginning to recognize the need to address the underlying issues that are driving this exodus. Improving job opportunities, supporting small businesses, and enhancing education and training programs could help retain more talent at home.

As Aveling Li prepares to leave her nail salon behind and start anew in Brisbane, her story serves as a reminder of the personal and economic challenges facing New Zealand today. Whether she returns in the future or not, her journey is a reflection of a nation at a crossroads, seeking to balance tradition with the realities of a globalized world.

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